Regional Workshop on Framework & Toolkit Development for Impact Based Forecasting (IBF)


One of the most pressing and rapidly worsening climate-related threats in South Asia is temperature extremes. Climate change is amplifying the frequency, intensity, and duration of temperature-related hazards, which include not only heatwaves but also cold spells and unseasonal low-temperature events. These extremes pose serious threats to public health, livelihoods, and infrastructure across the region. Rapid urbanization, widespread poverty, and a high dependency on climate-sensitive sectors – such as agriculture, water, health, and infrastructure – make the region exceptionally more sensitive to the growing impacts of climate change, particularly temperature extremes. These challenges highlight the urgent need to transition from conventional weather warnings to impact-based forecasting (IBF) that integrates hazard, exposure, and vulnerability information to provide actionable insights for decision-makers.

In response, the Regional Integrated Multi-Hazard Early Warning System for Africa and Asia (RIMES), in partnership with the UK Met Office through the Weather and Climate Information Services for Asia and the Pacific (WISER-AP) Programme, is implementing the South Asia Hydromet Forum (SAHF) IBF Working Group (WG) Project. This initiative aims to support South Asian countries in developing the scientific, institutional, and operational frameworks required to deliver IBF services, with initial focus on temperature-related hazards such as heatwaves and cold waves.

This regional workshop contributes to the project by facilitating the co-development of a regional Framework and Toolkit for IBF of Temperature-Related Hazards – a crucial output that will form the foundation for national demonstration activities and regional harmonization in 2026.

This regional workshop contributes to the project by facilitating the co-development of a regional Framework and Toolkit for IBF of Temperature-Related Hazards – a crucial output that will form the foundation for national demonstration activities and regional harmonization in 2026.

The  Workshop aims to:

  • Co-develop a regional framework and toolkit for IBF of temperature-related hazards, aligned with WMO service delivery principles.
  • Establish regional guidelines and selection criteria for national demonstration projects under the SAHF IBF initiative.
  • Support participating countries in designing draft national demonstration workplans, integrating MEL, GESI, and risk management components.
  • Consolidate outputs into a preliminary regional package (Framework v1, Toolkit v1, demo guidelines, and draft country workplans) to guide 2026 implementation.

By the end of the workshop, participants will have jointly produced:

  • Draft Regional IBF Framework v1 outlining governance, data, thresholds, triggers, and communication pathways;
  • Draft Toolkit v1, including methodological templates, data workflow models, and user communication materials;
  • Agreed guidelines and selection criteria for country-level demonstration projects; and
  • Draft national demonstration workplans integrating MEL, GESI, and risk components.

The workshop will bring together representatives from:

  • National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs)
  • Relevant user agencies (e.g., health, agriculture, disaster management, etc.)
  • Development partners engaged in the SAHF IBF Working Group

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