Impact Based Forecasting
The Working Group for Impact Based Forecasting supports National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) to transition from traditional meteorological and hydrological forecasting to impact-based forecasting to ensure NMHSs remain relevant to stakeholders, responders, and civil societies.
This WG would be responsible for developing and implementing a strategy to enable South Asia NMHSs to make full use of ensemble prediction and impact-based forecasting (IBF) methods using the latest guidance from WMO, experience of leading centers and successful use-cases demonstrated in the region. This will include developing training materials and drawing on appropriate regional and wider expertise of relevant experts. To begin with the SAHF Training modules implemented through the SAHF Training strategy described in the SAHF Capacity Enhancement Working paper and the SAHF Knowledge Hub being developed will serve as the primary mechanisms to deliver capacity improvements in IBF for the region.
This strategy would also leverage ongoing and planned efforts to improve IBF carried out by other development partners and national agencies including academic institutions working in allied subjects.
The IBF working group has the following objectives:
- To assess the existing capacities of NMHSs, map capacities to generate IBF and prioritize them into efforts, to be addressed during the current phase of SAHF till December 2022 and other needs to be addressed beyond the current phase of SAHF.
- To identify regional components to support IBF systems at national level and to build demand driven IBF services of the SAHF member countries.
Some of the activities conducted under IBF Working Group:
WORKING GROUP CO - CHAIRS
| Name | Designation | Organization | Country |
|---|---|---|---|
Dr. Zaheer Ahmed Babar | Director, National Weather Forecasting Center | Pakistan Meterological Department | Pakistan |
Ms. Shanti Kandel | Senior Divisional Meteorologist, Meteorological Forecasting Division (MFD) | Department of Hydrology and Meteorology, Nepal | Nepal |
WORKING GROUP MEMBERS
| Country | Name | Designation | Organization |
|---|---|---|---|
Afghanistan | Mr. Khalid Halim | Member of Forecast | Afghanistan Meteorology Department |
Mr. Mustafa Zadran | Member of Forecast | Afghanistan Meteorology Department | |
Bangladesh | Dr. Md. Shameem Hassan Bhuiyan | Meteorologist/Head, Agrometeorology & International Meteorology Division | Bangladesh Meterological Department |
Dr. Muhammad Abul Kalam Mallik | Meteorologist | Bangladesh Meterological Department | |
Bhutan | Ms. Pema Syldon | Sr. Met/Hyd Officer, Meteorological Services Division (MSD) | National Center for Hydrology and Meteorology |
Ms. Sonam Lhamo | Forecaster, Meteorological Services Division (MSD) | National Center for Hydrology and Meteorology | |
India | Dr. R.K. Jenamani | Scientist F | India Meteorological Department |
Maldives | Mr. Ali Shareef | Deputy Director General, Meteorology | Maldives Meteorological Services |
Ms. Azeema Ahmed | Assistant Meteorologist | Maldives Meteorological Services | |
Myanmar | Ms. Chaw Su Hlaing | Staff Officer | Department of Meteorology and Hydrology |
Dr. Shwe Yee Nwe (Ms.) | Staff Officer | Department of Meteorology and Hydrology | |
Nepal | Ms. Shanti Kandel | Senior Divisional Meteorologist, Meteorological Forecasting Division (MFD) | Department of Hydrology and Meteorology |
Pakistan | Dr. Zaheer Ahmed Babar | Director, National Weather Forecasting Center | Pakistan Meterological Department |
Sri Lanka | Mr M M P Mendis | Deputy Director, National Meteorological Center | Department of Meteorology |