Regional Workshop on Impact-Based Forecasting: Training of Trainers (ToT) and National Demonstration Planning for Temperature-related Hazards

Day 3 Highlights

Day 3 covered Exposure, Vulnerability, GEDSI, and Impact Prioritization.

DAY 3: 11th February 2026
Triggers, Thresholds, and Decision-Making
08:30 AM – 17:00 PM (Kathmandu, Nepal Time, UTC+5:45)
SessionTimeDetailsLead/Speaker(s)
Signing of Attendance08:30 AM – 09:00 AM
Daily Recap09:00 AM – 09:15 AMParticipant
Session 9: Trigger and Threshold Development for Temperature Hazards09:15 AM - 10:00 AM- Why Local Level Thresholds are Important?
- How to define location- and sector-specific thresholds?
- Localized Threshold Determination - a hands-on exercise
- Raihanul Khan & Rabbani Golam, RIMES
Morning Break10:00 AM – 10:15 AM
Session 9 Cont’n:10:15 AM – 11:30 AM- Overview of Start Network’s recent activation in Nepal for Cold Wave

- Triggers and thresholds development for temperature related hazards
- Aligning triggers with decision timelines
- Linking triggers with institutional decision protocols
- Examples of how thresholds are defined for AA and used in various sectors/settings

- Translating temperature-related forecast to locally actionable early warning (PIN’s Experience)

- Triggers of Anticipatory Action vs public early warnings, and harmonisation challenges


- Helen Caughey, UKMO & Pranav Dahal, START Network

- Ramiz Khan & Madhab Uprety, RCCC

- Anuj Tiwari (People In Need Nepal)

- Damien Riquet (FAO) / Jochen Luther (WMO) (Online)
Session 10: End-to-end IBF Process: IMD Experience
11:30 AM – 12:30 PM- IMD’s approach, triggers, thresholds and alerts for different geographical zones and user sectors
- Temperature forecasting and verification approach
- Live Demonstrations of DSS Tools / Hands-On Exercise
IMD
Lunch Break12:30 AM – 13:30 PM
Group Exercise 313:30 PM – 15:30 PM- ToT action orientated advice in warning. A practical exercise which delegates can lead in their national contexts to encourage stakeholders to approach IBF from an action orientated perspective.- Helen Caughey, UKMO and Ramiz Khan & Madhab Uprety, RCCC
Afternoon Break15:30 PM – 15:45 PM
National Pilot Demonstration Clinic – Round 2 (3 countries)15:45 PM – 17:00 PM1. Nepal
2. Bangladesh
3. Sri Lanka
Wrap-up and Reflections17:00 PM – 17:15 PM