34th Session of the South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF-34) for the Summer Season and Climate Services User Forum (CSUF)

South Asia continues to experience accelerating climate variability and extreme events, with the summer monsoon season (June–September) increasingly characterized by erratic onset, prolonged dry spells, short-duration extreme rainfall, heatwaves preceding monsoon onset, and compound flood–landslide events. In recent years, the region has witnessed record-breaking temperatures exceeding 50°C in parts of South Asia, deadly pre-monsoon heatwaves affecting millions, catastrophic flooding in Nepal and Pakistan triggered by intense rainfall episodes, and severe cyclonic activity in the Bay of Bengal impacting Bangladesh, India, and Sri Lanka. These events have underscored the growing volatility of monsoon behavior and its cascading impacts on agriculture, water security, food systems, public health, infrastructure, and national economies.

With nearly 70–80% of annual rainfall occurring during the summer monsoon in many South Asian countries, even modest deviations in timing, spatial distribution, or intensity can translate into significant socioeconomic consequences. With high population density, climate-sensitive livelihoods, and persistent vulnerability in several countries, there is a critical need for credible, consensus-based, regionally coordinated seasonal outlooks that can inform national planning, anticipatory action, and sector-specific preparedness measures. The South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF) serves as a cornerstone regional mechanism to generate these consensus outlooks, ensuring scientific coherence across National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) and facilitating structured dialogue with user sectors through the Climate Services User Forum (CSUF).

Support to SASCOF and CSUF is central to achieving these objectives. SASCOF provides the technical platform for generating consensus seasonal outlooks, while CSUF ensures that these outlooks are interpreted, translated, and applied in sectoral decision-making contexts. However, recent assessments and the Training Needs Assessment (TNA) conducted under the SAHF CS WG project have identified critical gaps: varying levels of technical capacity in seasonal forecasting and probabilistic interpretation among NMHSs; limited integration of sub-seasonal and longer-term climate information; uneven understanding among user sectors of forecast uncertainty and application; and insufficient institutional feedback mechanisms between producers and users.

By embedding targeted pre-COF training for forecasters, structured CS WG deliberations, and sector-specific training for users alongside SASCOF and CSUF, the WISER AP-supported initiative ensures that seasonal outlook generation is technically robust, regionally harmonized, and practically usable. This integrated approach strengthens both sides of the climate services value chain—enhancing the scientific quality of outlooks and increasing their uptake in agriculture, water management, disaster risk reduction, health, and other climate-sensitive sectors.

The week-long Climate Services activities is scheduled to be held on 25-30 April 2026 in Male, Maldives. Co-organized by the Maldives Meteorological Service (MMS), Regional Climate Center (RCC), Pune of India Meteorological Department (IMD), UK Met Office (UKMO), and the Regional Integrated Multi-Hazard Early Warning System for Asia and Africa (RIMES), it aims to strengthen regional coherence, technical capacity, and user engagement across South Asia by integrating targeted pre-COF Training, SAHF CS WG meeting, SASCOF, and CSUF.

It specifically targets to:

  • Enhance technical capacity of seasonal forecasters through targeted pre-COF training informed by the TNA.
  • Review progress and strategic direction of the SAHF CS WG, including assessment findings and training plan implementation.
  • Develop a consensus seasonal outlook through SASCOF, supporting national climate outlook preparation.
  • Strengthen interpretation and application of seasonal outlooks among user sectors through tailored training and CSUF dialogue.
  • Promote inclusive, GEDSI-response climate services and strengthen feedback loops between producers and users.
SASCOF-34 – TUE 28 April 2026
34th SOUTH ASIAN CLIMATE OUTLOOK FORUM (SASCOF-34)
10:00 – 17:00 (UTC+5) | Malé, Maldives
SessionTimeDetailsLead/Speaker(s)
Registration09:30 AM – 10:00 AM
Opening Session10:00 AM – 10:30 AM- Recitation of Holy Quran
- Remarks/Messages
- Dr. O.P. Sreejith, RCC-Pune, IMD
- Director General Abdulla Wahid, MMS
- Dr. Anshul Agarwal, RIMES-SAHF
Participants' Introduction10:30 AM - 10:50 AM
Group Photo Opportunity10:50 AM - 11:00 AM
Tea Break11:00 AM – 11:30 AM
Session I: Seasonal Prediction of South Asia for JJA Season 2026 – Country Perspectives (Part 1)
Afghanistan11:30 AM - 11:40 PM
Bangladesh11:40 AM – 11:50 PM
Bhutan11:50 AM – 12:00 PM
Lunch Break12:00 PM – 13:00 PM
Session I: Seasonal Prediction of South Asia for JJA Season 2026 – Country Perspectives (Part 2)
India13:00 AM – 13:10 PM- Thanut Rittichai, RIMES and Anat Prag, UKMO
Maldives13:10 AM – 13:20 PM- Dr. Anshul Agarwal, RIMES
Myanmar13:20 PM – 13:30 PM
Nepal13:30 PM – 13:40 PM
Pakistan13:40 PM – 13:50 PM
Sri Lanka13:50 PM – 14:00 PM
Open Discussion14:00 PM – 14:10 PM
Session II: Seasonal Prediction of South Asia for JJA Season 2026 – Global and Regional Perspectives
Introduction of Emerging ENSO indices and its application14:10 PM – 14:30 PM- Presentation- Dr. Sabeerali, C.T., RCC-Pune
Health / Tea Break14:30 PM – 14:50 PM
JMA's Seasonal Prediction of South Asian Climate for JJA 2026: TCC/JMA14:50 PM – 15:10 PM- Presentation
Global and Regional Perspectives:
WMO Lead Center for Long-Range Forecast (online)
15:10 PM – 15:25 PM
Global and Regional Perspectives: UK Met Office15:25 PM – 15:40 PM- Andrew Colman, UKMO
Global and Regional Perspectives: IRI15:40 PM – 15:55 PM- IRI
Pre-Consensus Presentation and Discussion on Outlook: RCC, IMD, Pune15:55 PM – 16:10 PM- RCC, IMD, Pune
Agreement / Final Remarks on the Draft Text of the Consensus Forecast for JJA 202616:10 PM – 16:30 PM
End of SASCOF-34 Program
DAY 1 – 29 April 2026 (Wednesday)
Climate Services User Forum (CSUF)
9:00 – 16:00 (UTC+5) | Malé, Maldives
SessionTimeDetailsLead/Speaker(s)
Registration08:30 – 09:00
Opening / Inaugural Session09:00 – 09:45- Recitation of Holy Quran
- Remarks/Messages
- Dr. O.P. Sreejith, RCC-Pune, IMD
- Maldives Honourable Minister for Tourism and Environment
- Mr. David Corbelli, UKMO
- Dr. Anshul Agarwal, RIMES-SAHF
Overview of the Forum, Participant Acknowledgment09:45 – 10:20
Group Photo Opportunity10:20 – 10:30
Health / Tea Break10:30 – 10:50
Session I: SASCOF-34 Consensus Outlook for JJA 2026 Season (RCC-Pune)
Presentation of SASCOF-34 Consensus Outlook10:50 – 11:05- Dr. Sreejith, RCC/IMD
Presentation on Impact Outlook Developed for the South Asian Region at SASCOF-34 and its implications for key sectors11:05 – 11:20- - Leila/Rahul, ESCAP
Session II: Sub-Seasonal Products and their Utilisation (RCC-Pune)
Extended-Range Forecast Products11:20 – 11:35- Dr. Susmida, IITM
S2S Forecast Products from NCMRWF11:35 – 11:50- Ankur Gupta
Introduction of Recent Updates of Tokyo Climate Center (TCC)’s Services11:50 – 12:00- Mr. Ken Yamada, TCC-JMA
Lunch Break12:00 – 13:00
Session III: Status of Climate Services and Impact-Based Forecasting (RIMES Team)
Presentation of the Regional Assessment on the Status of Climate Services and TNA Report13:00 – 13:20- Dr. Anshul Agarwal, RIMES
Session IV: Interpretation of Climate Information and Products
Forecasting Impact of Climate Drivers on Agricultural Sector: An ongoing research at RIMES13:20 - 13:40- Raihanul Haque Khan, RIMES
Interpretation of Seasonal Outlooks, Probabilistic Forecasts, and Climate Advisories13:40 – 14:10- Dr. Jane Strachan, UK Met Office
User Sector Presentation14:10 – 14:25- Dr Jothiganesh Shanmugasundaram, WFP
Health / Tea Break14:25 – 14:40
Session V: Case-based Discussions: Application of Climate Services in Decision-Making
Climate Services for Disaster Management14:40 – 14:50- Ms. Faroosha Ali Naseer, NDMA Maldives
Climate Services for Agriculture: SESAME DSS (Bhutan)14:50 – 15:00- Ms. Tshering Pema, Department of Agriculture Bhutan
Experience-sharing from the User Sectors15:00 – 15:10- Nirmala Regmi, NDRRMA & Puja Shakya, RIMES
Panel Discussion: Experience-sharing from the User Sectors15:10 – 15:40- Moderator: Raihanul Haque Khan
Open Discussion15:40 – 16:00
DAY 2 – 30 April 2026 (Thursday)
Climate Services User Forum (CSUF)
9:00 – 16:00 (UTC+5) | Malé, Maldives
SessionTimeDetailsLead/Speaker(s)
Registration, Recap of Day 109:00 – 09:20
Framing and Objectives09:20 – 09:25- Dr. Roxy Mathew Koll, IITM
Seasonal Heat Outlook for Indian Region and South Asia09:25 – 09:40- Dr. Rohini P., IMD / WMO RCC
Sub-seasonal Heat Outlook and Forecast Use for Early Action09:40 – 09:55- MD / NCMRW
Heat-Health Advisory and Public Health Preparedness09:55 – 10:10- Dr. Aakash Shrivastava, NCDC/MOHFW
Heat Risk Preparedness in Maldives10:10 – 10:25- Shri Hisan Hassan, NDMA, Maldives
Health / Tea Break10:25 – 10:45
From Forecasts to Action: Synergizing Heat Health Resilience across Meteorology, Health Sectors, and Communities in South Asia10:45 – 11:00- Dr. Novil Wijesekaram, Sri Lanka
Heat Risk Preparedness in India11:00 – 11:15- Shri Krishna Vatsa, NDMA India
Roundtable Discussion with Experts11:15 – 11:30
Key Takeaways and Next Steps11:50 – 12:00
Lunch Break12:00 – 13:00
Climate Services in the Health Sector: WMO-WHO Initiatives for South Asia (continuation)13:00 – 13:15- Dr. Vishwas Chitale, GHHIN South Asia
Session VII: Analyzing Communicating Sector Specific Climate Risks
Demonstration of the INSTANT South Asia Portal13:15 - 13:30- RIMES
Interactive Session: Co-Production of Climate Outlook and Advisories
Improving awareness and dissemination of climate information within sector institutions and
communities
13:30 – 14:40- Raihanul Haque Khan & Asif Uddin Bin Noor, RIMES
Tea Break14:40 – 15:00
Session VIII: Using Long-Term Climate Information
Use of Climate Projections to Support Infrastructure Planning and Climate Adaptation Strategies15:00 – 15:30- IITM (online) & ESCAP
Open Discussions15:30 – 15:50
Way Forward and Closing Remarks15:50 – 16:00