Regional Workshop on Impact-Based Forecasting: Training of Trainers (ToT) and National Demonstration Planning for Temperature-related Hazards

South Asia is increasingly exposed to temperature-related hazards, with climate change intensifying heatwaves, cold spells, and unseasonal extremes that place growing pressure on public health, livelihoods, and climate-sensitive sectors. These risks highlight the need for more actionable, people-centered early warning systems, where impact-based forecasting (IBF) supports timely and informed decision-making by linking hazards with exposure and vulnerability. Under the WISER Asia Pacific-funded South Asia Hydromet Forum (SAHF) IBF Project, a first Regional Workshop was held to develop a regional framework and toolkit for IBF of temperature-related hazards. The workshop helped establish common concepts and approaches and initiated discussions on how the framework could be applied through national demonstration activities. Building on this foundation, South Asian countries began identifying priority sectors, vulnerable groups, and institutional arrangements for applying the framework in national contexts.

In this context, the Second Regional SAHF IBF Workshop is designed to bring these two aspects together through a combined Training-of-Trainers and National Demonstration Planning approach. The workshop builds on the outcomes of the first regional engagement by shifting from conceptual understanding to applied, operational, and replicable IBF practice.

The workshop aims to strengthen the capacity of National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) in South Asia to design, operationalize, and communicate Impact-Based Forecasts for temperature-related hazards. It will follow an end-to-end IBF approach, guiding participants through the full IBF process, from forecast generation and interpretation, to impact analysis, trigger and threshold development, action-led warnings, and effective communication and dissemination.

The first four (4) days will be delivered as a Training-of-Trainers, equipping participants not only with technical knowledge but also with facilitation skills and practical tools that can be cascaded at their respective in-country national and sub-national levels. Key thematic areas include exposure and vulnerability analysis, integration of Gender Equality, Disability and Social Inclusion (GEDSI), development of multi-indicator triggers, risk-based decision-making, behavioral insights for communication, and operational IBF workflows.

The final day is dedicated to National IBF Demonstrations, where participating countries will apply the concepts and tools introduced during the ToT sessions to refine and finalize their country-specific IBF pilot designs. This includes defining priority temperature-related hazards, target sectors, triggers and thresholds, early actions, communication approaches, and next steps for implementation.

The  Workshop aims to:

  • Build national capacity through a Training-of-Trainers (ToT) approach by delivering targeted training on priority technical and operational gaps, and by clarifying roles, cascading mechanisms, and the technical assistance required to sustain IBF implementation beyond the project period.
  • Finalize national IBF demonstration plans for implementation during the 2026 heat and cold seasons, including agreement on objectives, scope, phasing, roles, and institutional arrangements.
  • Strengthen coherence between national demonstrations and the regional IBF framework and toolkit, ensuring technical consistency, effective co-production, and context-specific adaptation across participating countries.

Expected Outputs:

  • An agreed Training-of-Trainers (ToT) arrangement, including national focal points, defined roles, and cascading and technical support mechanisms.
  • Finalized national IBF demonstration plans for the 2026 heat and cold seasons, covering objectives, priority sectors and locations, implementation phasing, and coordination arrangements.
  • Confirmed alignment with the regional IBF framework and toolkit, ensuring consistent concepts, methodologies, and operational approaches across countries.

The workshop will bring together representatives from:

  • National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs), who will serve as the initial national Training-of-Trainers (ToT) focal points. These participants will form the core of national ToT teams responsible for cascading IBF knowledge and supporting national demonstration implementation. As introduced during the first regional workshop, RIMES has shared preferred qualifications and skills to guide NMHS nominations.
  • Relevant user agencies (e.g., health, agriculture, disaster management, water, urban services) that will partner with NMHSs in the design and implementation of national IBF demonstrations.
  • Development partners and technical organizations engaged in the SAHF IBF Working Group, supporting coordination, technical alignment, and knowledge
    exchange.

Training-of-Trainers (ToT) Nomination Criteria:

  • Technical background in climate services, forecasting, and/or disaster risk management
  • Experience working with sectoral user agencies (e.g., DRM, agriculture, health, water)
  • Familiarity with impact-based forecasting (IBF) concepts and applications
  • Strong communication and facilitation skills
  • Experience in training delivery, coaching, or mentoring approaches
  • Commitment to participate in all ToT activities and national demonstration phases
  • Formal endorsement from NMHS senior management
DAY 1: 09th February 2026
IBF Training of Trainers (ToT) Workshop Event page integration in progress
08:30 AM – 17:00 PM (Kathmandu, Nepal Time, UTC+5:45)
SessionTimeDetails (To Be Finalized)Lead/Speaker(s)
Registration08:30 AM – 09:00 AMRegistration of participantsRIMES Secretariat
Opening Session09:00 AM – 09:30 AMRIMES
Session 1: IBF for Temperature-related Hazards – Refresher (Applied)09:30 AM - 10:30 AMDr. K.J. Ramesh
Morning Break10:30 AM – 10:45 AM
Session 2: Regional IBF Framework, Toolkit & Tool Demonstrations10:45 AM – 12:15 PMDanna Valdez
Lunch Break12:15 PM – 13:15 PM
Session 3: Forecast Generation for Temperature Hazards13:15 AM – 14:30 PMDr. Shiromani Jayawardena
Afternoon Break14:30 PM – 14:45 PM
Session 4 + Group Exercise 1: Translating Forecasts into Impacts14:45 PM – 16:30 PMHelen , UKMO
Wrap-up and Reflections16:30 PM – 17:00 PM
DAY 2: 10th February 2026
Exposure, Vulnerability, GEDSI, and Impact Prioritization
08:30 AM – 17:00 PM (Kathmandu, Nepal Time, UTC+5:45)
SessionTimeDetails (To Be Finalized)Lead/Speaker(s)
Signing of Attendance08:30 AM – 09:00 AM
Daily Recap09:00 AM – 09:15 AMParticipants
Session 5: Exposure, Vulnerability, and GEDSI in IBF09:15 AM - 10:45 AM
Morning Break10:45 AM – 11:00 AM
Session 6: GEDSI Integration into IBF Design11:00 AM – 12:30 PM
Lunch Break12:30 PM – 13:30 PM
Group Exercise 213:30 AM – 15:00 PM
Afternoon Break15:00 PM – 15:15 PM
National Pilot Demonstration Clinic – Round 1 (3 countries)15:15 PM – 16:45 PM1. Bhutan
2. Pakistan
3. Myanmar
Wrap-up and Reflections16:45 PM – 17:00 PM
DAY 3: 11th February 2026
Triggers, Thresholds, and Decision-Making
08:30 AM – 17:00 PM (Kathmandu, Nepal Time, UTC+5:45)
SessionTimeDetails (To Be Finalized)Lead/Speaker(s)
Signing of Attendance08:30 AM – 09:00 AM
Daily Recap09:00 AM – 09:15 AMParticipant
Session 7: Trigger and Threshold Development for Temperature Hazards09:15 AM - 10:45 AMRIMES/UKMO
BMD &
RIMES Bangladesh
Morning Break10:45 AM – 11:00 AM
Session 8: Risk Evaluation and Decision-Making for IBF11:00 AM – 12:30 PMRIMES/UKMO
IMD
Lunch Break12:30 PM – 13:30 PM
Group Exercise 313:30 PM – 15:00 PM
Afternoon Break15:00 PM – 15:15 PM
National Pilot Demonstration Clinic – Round 2 (3 countries)15:15 PM – 16:45 PM1. Nepal
2. Bangladesh
3. Sri Lanka
Wrap-up and Reflections16:45 PM – 17:00 PM
DAY 4: 12th February 2026
Communication, Operations, and Training-of-Trainer Skills
08:30 AM – 17:00 PM (Kathmandu, Nepal Time, UTC+5:45)
SessionTimeDetails (To Be Finalized)Lead/Speaker(s)
Signing of Attendance08:30 AM – 09:00 AM
Daily Recap09:00 AM – 09:15 AMParticipants
Session 9: Action-led Warnings for Temperature Hazards09:15 AM - 10:45 AMDr. KJ
Ramesh

Raihanul
Khan
Morning Break10:45 AM – 11:00 AM
Session 10: Behavioral Insights and Risk Communication11:00 AM – 12:30 PM
Lunch Break12:30 PM – 13:30 PM
Session 11: Operational IBF Workflows and Decision Support13:30 AM – 15:00 PMRIMES Bangladesh
Afternoon Break15:00 PM – 15:15 PM
National Pilot Demonstration Clinic – Round 3 (3 countries)15:15 PM – 16:45 PM1. Maldives
2. India
3. Afghanistan
Wrap-up and Reflections16:45 PM – 17:00 PM
DAY 5: 13th February 2026
National Demonstrations
08:30 AM – 17:00 PM (Kathmandu, Nepal Time, UTC+5:45)
SessionTimeDetails (To Be Finalized)Lead/Speaker(s)
Signing of Attendance08:30 AM – 09:00 AM
Daily Recap09:00 AM – 09:15 AMParticipant
Session 12: Training-of-Trainers09:15 AM - 10:45 AMUKMO & WGCo-Chairs
Morning Break10:45 AM – 11:00 AM
Session 13: Cross-Country Synthesis of National Pilot Demos11:00 AM – 12:30 PMDr. Anshul Agarwal
Lunch Break12:30 PM – 13:30 PM
Session 13: Cont’n Cross-Country Synthesis of National Pilot Demos13:30 AM – 15:00 PMDr. Anshul Agarwal
Afternoon Break15:00 PM – 15:15 PM
Session 14: Roadmap to Implementation & Post-Workshop Support15:15 PM – 16:45 PMDr. Anshul Agarwal & UKMO
Workshop Closing and Way Forward16:45 PM – 17:00 PM